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Regression & modelling

Use a fitted model to make predictions

After fitting a regression curve, use it to predict a value or to solve for when something happens.

In short: Using a fitted model to make predictions means substituting a value into the regression equation to estimate an output. Interpolation, predicting inside the data range, is usually reliable, while extrapolation beyond it is less so. Store the regression equation in a function slot so you can evaluate it quickly and graph it with the data.

When you'd use this

TI-84 Plus CECasio fx-CG50 and fx-CG100TI-Nspire CX

At a glance: TI-84 Plus CE, Casio fx-CG50 and TI-Nspire CX compared

 TI-84 Plus CECasio fx-CG50 and fx-CG100TI-Nspire CX
Key sequencePaste the equation into Y1 (VARS → Statistics → EQ → RegEQ), then use a table or solve Y1 = value.Copy the regression equation to the graph (Y=), then use G-Solv or a table to read predictions.Store the regression equation to f1(x), then evaluate f1(a) or solve f1(x) = value.

On a TI-84 Plus CE

  1. Fit the model so its equation is available to reuse.
  2. Paste the equation into Y1 (VARS → Statistics → EQ → RegEQ), then use a table or solve Y1 = value.
  3. Predict within the data range (interpolation); extrapolating beyond it is unreliable.

Tip: Solve model = target to find when a quantity reaches a given level (e.g. when sales hit 1000).

On a Casio fx-CG50 and fx-CG100

  1. Fit the model so its equation is available to reuse.
  2. Copy the regression equation to the graph (Y=), then use G-Solv or a table to read predictions.
  3. Predict within the data range (interpolation); extrapolating beyond it is unreliable.

Tip: Solve model = target to find when a quantity reaches a given level (e.g. when sales hit 1000).

On a TI-Nspire CX

  1. Fit the model so its equation is available to reuse.
  2. Store the regression equation to f1(x), then evaluate f1(a) or solve f1(x) = value.
  3. Predict within the data range (interpolation); extrapolating beyond it is unreliable.

Tip: Solve model = target to find when a quantity reaches a given level (e.g. when sales hit 1000).

Related guides

Try it yourself

Here's a real IB-style question that uses exactly this technique.

Medium Calculator Paper 2 [2 marks]

A model gives y = 3(2)ˣ. Use it to predict y when x = 6.

192
Mark it
Correct 2 / 2 marks
Worked solution & mark scheme:
M1 Substitute x = 6 into the stored regression equation
A1 192

Common questions

When would I need to use a fitted model to make predictions in IB Maths?

After fitting a regression curve, use it to predict a value or to solve for when something happens. You've already fitted a regression model and now need a value it predicts. Substituting an x-value into the stored regression equation, rather than retyping it.

How do I use a fitted model to make predictions on a TI-84 Plus CE?

1. Fit the model so its equation is available to reuse. 2. Paste the equation into Y1 (VARS → Statistics → EQ → RegEQ), then use a table or solve Y1 = value. 3. Predict within the data range (interpolation); extrapolating beyond it is unreliable.

How do I use a fitted model to make predictions on a Casio fx-CG50 and fx-CG100?

1. Fit the model so its equation is available to reuse. 2. Copy the regression equation to the graph (Y=), then use G-Solv or a table to read predictions. 3. Predict within the data range (interpolation); extrapolating beyond it is unreliable.

How do I use a fitted model to make predictions on a TI-Nspire CX?

1. Fit the model so its equation is available to reuse. 2. Store the regression equation to f1(x), then evaluate f1(a) or solve f1(x) = value. 3. Predict within the data range (interpolation); extrapolating beyond it is unreliable.

What should I watch out for when I use a fitted model to make predictions?

Solve model = target to find when a quantity reaches a given level (e.g. when sales hit 1000).

How are marks awarded when I use a fitted model to make predictions in an IB exam?

In the worked example on this page (2 marks, Paper 2), the marks are: M1: Substitute x = 6 into the stored regression equation; A1: 192.

Practise with your calculator

Questions that need this technique link back to this guide. Try one in practice mode, or see every GDC guide.