Core AI skill - gives the regression line and the correlation coefficient in one step.
In short: Linear regression finds the line of best fit y = ax + b through paired data, along with the correlation coefficient r. You enter the x and y values in two lists and run the linear regression function. Use the line to predict values within the data range, and use r to judge how strong the linear relationship is.
When you'd use this
A question gives paired data and asks for the equation of the regression line.
You need the correlation coefficient r to comment on the strength of a linear relationship.
Finding the line of best fit before using it to make a prediction.
Checking whether a linear model is actually appropriate for the data, before fitting a curve instead.
Here's a real IB-style question that uses exactly this technique.
MediumCalculatorPaper 2[3 marks]
For the data pairs (1, 3), (2, 5), (3, 4), (4, 6), (5, 8), find the equation of the regression line y = ax + b and the value of r, each to 3 significant figures.
y = 1.1x + 1.9, r = 0.904
Mark it
Correct3 / 3 marks
Worked solution & mark scheme:
M1 Enter the data as two linked lists and run linear regression
A1 y = 1.1x + 1.9
A1 r = 0.904
Common questions
When would I need to find a line of best fit and the correlation coefficient r in IB Maths?
Core AI skill - gives the regression line and the correlation coefficient in one step. A question gives paired data and asks for the equation of the regression line. You need the correlation coefficient r to comment on the strength of a linear relationship.
How do I find a line of best fit and the correlation coefficient r on a TI-84 Plus CE?
1. Enter x-values in one list and y-values in another. 2. Turn on DiagnosticOn once (2nd → CATALOG) so r appears; then STAT → CALC → 4:LinReg(ax+b), set Xlist and Ylist, Calculate. 3. Read a (gradient), b (intercept), r (correlation) and r² (coefficient of determination). 4. Use the equation to predict - but only within the data range (interpolation).
How do I find a line of best fit and the correlation coefficient r on a Casio fx-CG50 and fx-CG100?
1. Enter x-values in one list and y-values in another. 2. Statistics menu → CALC (F2) → REG (F3) → X (linear); r shows automatically. 3. Read a (gradient), b (intercept), r (correlation) and r² (coefficient of determination). 4. Use the equation to predict - but only within the data range (interpolation).
How do I find a line of best fit and the correlation coefficient r on a TI-Nspire CX?
1. Enter x-values in one list and y-values in another. 2. Calculator page → menu → Statistics → Stat Calculations → Linear Regression (mx+b). 3. Read a (gradient), b (intercept), r (correlation) and r² (coefficient of determination). 4. Use the equation to predict - but only within the data range (interpolation).
What should I watch out for when I find a line of best fit and the correlation coefficient r?
r near ±1 means a strong linear fit; near 0 means weak. r² is the proportion of variation explained.
How are marks awarded when I find a line of best fit and the correlation coefficient r in an IB exam?
In the worked example on this page (3 marks, Paper 2), the marks are: M1: Enter the data as two linked lists and run linear regression; A1: y = 1.1x + 1.9; A1: r = 0.904.